Auckland FC — Melbourne City

Auckland FC at home: 0.54 xG difference per match (10 records); Melbourne City away: 0.12 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 3 of 10 recorded at home league matches (30%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Home win occurred in 3 of 10 recorded away league matches (30%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Francois M., Sail O.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Lopane A.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Cosgrove S.: 0.41 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 858 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; De Vries F.: 0.38 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 673 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Rogerson L.: 0.36 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 485 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

3/3 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Sakai H.: 0.12 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 772 minutes); Pijnaker N.: 0.15 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 608 minutes); De Vries F.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 673 minutes). Sakai H.: 57/97 duels won (10 appearances); Pijnaker N.: 40/62 duels won (10 appearances); De Vries F.: 42/65 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Woud M.: 0.08 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 930 minutes).

5/7 published substitutes have personal history. Francois M.: missing (Inactive); historical 0.46 xG+xA/90 from 225 minutes. Sail O.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.00 xG+xA/90 from 579 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Mabil A.: 1.01 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 301 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; MacNicol Q.: 0.50 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 171 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Memeti M.: 0.46 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 488 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Atkinson N.: 0.19 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 960 minutes); Bonetig L.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 538 minutes); Delbridge H.: 0.39 errors leading to shots/90 (8 appearances, 687 minutes); Behich A.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 960 minutes). Atkinson N.: 66/124 duels won (10 appearances); Bonetig L.: 25/44 duels won (10 appearances); Delbridge H.: 56/82 duels won (8 appearances); Behich A.: 40/70 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Freke M.: -0.21 goals prevented/90 (6 appearances, 495 minutes).

7/7 published substitutes have personal history. Lopane A.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.13 xG+xA/90 from 447 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Auckland FC: 2.44 summed individual xG+xA/90; Melbourne City: 3.37. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.