Bournemouth — Aston Villa

Only 0 scored at home league matches are saved. Five are needed for a directional form signal.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Araujo J., Scott A., Toth A.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Only 0 scored away league matches are saved. Five are needed for a directional form signal.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Cisse M., Onana A., Ruggeri M., Wan-Bissaka A.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Bournemouth home: 0/10 paired xG matches; Aston Villa away: 0/10. No xG-based edge is inferred.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Rayan: 0.54 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 659 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Rodriguez A.: 0.52 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 412 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; Brooks D.: 0.50 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 212 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Hill J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 838 minutes); Diakite B.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 436 minutes); Silva A.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 892 minutes); Soler J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 401 minutes). Hill J.: 63/93 duels won (10 appearances); Diakite B.: 12/23 duels won (10 appearances); Silva A.: 64/102 duels won (10 appearances); Soler J.: 19/36 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Di Gregorio M.: 0.08 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 855 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Araujo J.: missing (Thigh Injury); historical 0.27 xG+xA/90 from 705 minutes. Scott A.: missing (Thigh Injury); historical 0.20 xG+xA/90 from 895 minutes. Toth A.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.44 xG+xA/90 from 130 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Abraham T.: 0.74 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 259 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; Barkley R.: 0.50 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 470 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; McGinn J.: 0.44 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 799 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Cash M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 768 minutes); Harwood-Bellis T.: 0.29 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 930 minutes); Mings T.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 722 minutes); Maatsen I.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 704 minutes). Cash M.: 43/79 duels won (10 appearances); Harwood-Bellis T.: 46/80 duels won (10 appearances); Mings T.: 24/37 duels won (10 appearances); Maatsen I.: 33/72 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Bizot M.: 0.19 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 765 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Cisse M.: missing (Hip Injury); historical 0.20 xG+xA/90 from 717 minutes. Onana A.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.16 xG+xA/90 from 704 minutes. Ruggeri M.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.10 xG+xA/90 from 653 minutes. Wan-Bissaka A.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.04 xG+xA/90 from 585 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Bournemouth: 2.96 summed individual xG+xA/90; Aston Villa: 2.83. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.