Sassuolo — Lazio

Home win occurred in 7 of 10 recorded at home league matches (70%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Home win occurred in 3 of 10 recorded away league matches (30%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Boloca D., Idzes J., Kone I., Leysen F. and 1 more. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Furlanetto A., Gudmundsson A., Marusic A., Rovella N.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Sassuolo at home: 0.18 xG difference per match (10 records); Lazio away: 0.23 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Adzic V.: 0.63 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 402 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Lauriente A.: 0.45 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 748 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Thorstvedt K.: 0.44 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 579 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Van der Brempt I.: 0.29 errors leading to shots/90 (7 appearances, 307 minutes); Caleta-Car D.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 729 minutes); Odenthal C.: 0.10 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 874 minutes); Doig J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 734 minutes). Van der Brempt I.: 22/36 duels won (7 appearances); Caleta-Car D.: 31/49 duels won (9 appearances); Odenthal C.: 41/80 duels won (10 appearances); Doig J.: 23/48 duels won (9 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Muric A.: 0.22 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Boloca D.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.26 xG+xA/90 from 632 minutes. Idzes J.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.03 xG+xA/90 from 805 minutes. Kone I.: missing (Broken Leg); historical 0.21 xG+xA/90 from 739 minutes. Leysen F.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.10 xG+xA/90 from 698 minutes. Paz Y.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.02 xG+xA/90 from 227 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Zaccagni M.: 0.59 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 861 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Frattesi D.: 0.43 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 690 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Noslin T.: 0.43 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 597 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Floriani R.: 0.12 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 748 minutes); Sutalo J.: 0.32 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 834 minutes); Provstgaard O.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 780 minutes); Tavares N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 774 minutes). Floriani R.: 31/63 duels won (10 appearances); Sutalo J.: 31/53 duels won (10 appearances); Provstgaard O.: 21/54 duels won (10 appearances); Tavares N.: 49/92 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Mandas C.: 0.55 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Furlanetto A.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.00 xG+xA/90 from 180 minutes. Gudmundsson A.: missing (Shoulder Injury); historical 0.76 xG+xA/90 from 409 minutes. Marusic A.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.12 xG+xA/90 from 731 minutes. Rovella N.: missing (Calf Injury); historical 0.06 xG+xA/90 from 566 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Sassuolo: 2.74 summed individual xG+xA/90; Lazio: 2.37. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.