Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen Prediction, Pick and Odds (October 9, 2026)
The upcoming CHINA: Super League clash between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Henan Songshan Longmen brings a matchup our model has flagged on the betting market. The available recorded samples and listed odds are reviewed below. The match is scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:35 AM.
Here is our breakdown and top betting picks for this matchup. Check the live odds and full match stats on the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen page.
Match Info
| Competition | CHINA: Super League |
|---|---|
| Match | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen |
| Kickoff | October 9, 2026 at 7:35 AM |
| Market | TOTAL |
| Selection | Total Over 2.5 |
| Odds | 1.6 |
Team Analysis & Recent Form
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
In 15 recent games, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went over 2.5 60% of the time. In 50 recent games, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went over 2.5 58% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Shenzhen Xinpengcheng project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
Henan Songshan Longmen
In 5 recent games away, Henan Songshan Longmen went over 2.5 80% of the time. In 10 recent games away, Henan Songshan Longmen went over 2.5 70% of the time. In 25 recent games away, Henan Songshan Longmen went over 2.5 68% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Henan Songshan Longmen project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
Recorded Trend Samples
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Songshan Longmen | HEN – Away | Total Over 2.5 | 80% | 5 |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | HEN – Away | Total Over 2.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | HEN – Away | Total Over 2.5 | 68% | 25 |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | HEN – Away | Total Over 2.5 | 67% | 15 |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | HEN – Away | Total Over 2.5 | 60% | 20 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 60% | 15 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 58% | 50 |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 58% | 50 |
Small-Market Trends & Prediction
Beyond the main market, the recorded samples for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen also flag side-market trends — corners, cards, fouls and shots. These are historical statistical trends from past games, not guarantees.
Small-market prediction: Goal Minutes Under 145.5. Its strongest recorded sample landed in 78% of 9 games.
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Overall | Goal Minutes Under 145.5 | 78% | 9 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | SHE – Home | Goal Minutes Under 145.5 | 70% | 10 |
The Goal Threat
Read together, the recent samples for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Henan Songshan Longmen point in the same direction on the game total, with the strongest trend landing at 80%.
Historical rates frame the matchup but never guarantee the next result — the market line and price still decide whether a pick holds value. This preview uses only the recorded samples supplied for this fixture.
Odds and Historical Rate Comparison
| Selection | Odds | Implied probability | Best recorded hit rate | Historical gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Over 2.5 | 1.60 | 62.5% | 80.0% | +17.5 pp |
The historical gap compares the strongest supplied sample with the probability implied by the listed odds. It is not a model probability or a guarantee of value.
Best Football Betting Picks & Prediction
- Pick: Total Over 2.5 — odds 1.6
Why: Each selection is built on Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Henan Songshan Longmen’s recorded totals samples, led by a 80% hit rate. These are analytical opinions, not a promise of a result — always compare the listed odds with the current market before betting. No injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other unverified match context are assumed in this assessment.
Risk Assessment
Historical samples describe previous results and may not repeat in the next match. The listed odds can also change before kickoff. This assessment does not assume any injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other context that is not present in the supplied data.
Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Frequently Asked Questions
Our data-backed selection is Total Over 2.5 at listed odds of 1.6, an implied probability of 62.5%. It is the only tracked pick we flag for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen.
Across 8 recorded samples, Total Over 2.5 landed in up to 80% of games at its strongest. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng’s best matching split hit 60% and Henan Songshan Longmen’s reached 80%.
Total Over 2.5 is priced at 1.6 (62.5% implied). The strongest recorded sample (80%) sits +17.5 percentage points above that implied line — a historical gap, not a guarantee of value.
Our small-market prediction is Goal Minutes Under 145.5, which cleared its line in up to 78% of matching games. This fixture has 1 side-market trend in total (corners, cards, fouls, shots) — see the table above. Historical rates only, not guarantees.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen is scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:35 AM in CHINA: Super League.
No bet is safe. These hit rates describe past results only and may not repeat, and the listed odds can move before kickoff. We assume no injuries, lineups, weather or motivation beyond the supplied data — always compare the live price and bet responsibly.
