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Statistics

(include only LO 5 matches of 5)

StatisticBURWIM
Goals Scored1.40.4
Goals Conceded1.41.4
xG0.550.55
xGA1.311.6
Shots68
Shots on Target1.51.75
Shots Inside Box44.5
Big Chances11
Football
ENGLAND: League One

Burton โ€” AFC Wimbledon

Burton logoBurton
09/02/2026, 14:45
4-1
Predictions
AFC Wimbledon logoAFC Wimbledon

Match Analysis

Prepared Sep 1, 2026

The upcoming ENGLAND: League One clash between Burton and AFC Wimbledon brings a matchup our model has flagged on the betting market. The available recorded samples and listed odds are reviewed below. The match is scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM.

Here is our breakdown and top betting picks for this matchup. Check the live odds and full match stats on the Burton vs AFC Wimbledon page.

Match Info

Competition ENGLAND: League One
Match Burton vs AFC Wimbledon
Kickoff September 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM
Market TOTAL
Selection Total Under 2.5
Odds 1.67

Team Analysis & Recent Form

Burton

In 15 recent games, Burton went under 2.5 67% of the time.

Those numbers shape how Burton project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon feature in this matchup’s totals picks. The recent recorded samples drive the selections listed below.

Recorded Trend Samples

Team Split Selection Hit rate Games
Head-to-head matches Overall Total Under 2.5 100% 5
Head-to-head matches Overall Total Under 2.5 80% 10
Head-to-head matches BUR – Home Total Under 2.5 80% 5
Head-to-head matches Overall Total Under 2.5 67% 15
Burton Overall Total Under 2.5 67% 15
Head-to-head matches BUR – Home Total Under 2.5 67% 9
Head-to-head matches BUR – Home Total Under 2.5 67% 9
Head-to-head matches BUR – Home Total Under 2.5 67% 9

Small-Market Trends & Prediction

Beyond the main market, the recorded samples for Burton vs AFC Wimbledon also flag side-market trends โ€” corners, cards, fouls and shots. These are historical statistical trends from past games, not guarantees.

Small-market prediction: Saves Under 6.5. Its strongest recorded sample landed in 86% of 7 games.

Team Split Selection Hit rate Games
Burton Overall Saves Under 6.5 86% 7
Burton BUR – Home Saves Under 6.5 75% 8
Burton BUR – Home Saves Under 6.5 71% 7
AFC Wimbledon Overall Corners Over 9.5 80% 5
Burton BUR – Home Corners Over 9.5 71% 7

The Goal Threat

Read together, the recent samples for Burton and AFC Wimbledon point in the same direction on the game total, with the strongest trend landing at 100%.

Historical rates frame the matchup but never guarantee the next result โ€” the market line and price still decide whether a pick holds value. This preview uses only the recorded samples supplied for this fixture.

Odds and Historical Rate Comparison

Selection Odds Implied probability Best recorded hit rate Historical gap
Total Under 2.5 1.67 59.9% 100.0% +40.1 pp

The historical gap compares the strongest supplied sample with the probability implied by the listed odds. It is not a model probability or a guarantee of value.

Best Football Betting Picks & Prediction

  • Pick: Total Under 2.5 โ€” odds 1.67

Why: Each selection is built on Burton and AFC Wimbledon’s recorded totals samples, led by a 100% hit rate. These are analytical opinions, not a promise of a result โ€” always compare the listed odds with the current market before betting. No injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other unverified match context are assumed in this assessment.

Risk Assessment

Historical samples describe previous results and may not repeat in the next match. The listed odds can also change before kickoff. This assessment does not assume any injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other context that is not present in the supplied data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Burton vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our data-backed selection is Total Under 2.5 at listed odds of 1.67, an implied probability of 59.9%. It is the only tracked pick we flag for Burton vs AFC Wimbledon.

How strong is the Total Under 2.5 trend for Burton vs AFC Wimbledon?

Across 8 recorded samples, Total Under 2.5 landed in up to 100% of games at its strongest. Burton’s best matching split hit 67%.

What are the odds for Total Under 2.5 in Burton vs AFC Wimbledon?

Total Under 2.5 is priced at 1.67 (59.9% implied). The strongest recorded sample (100%) sits +40.1 percentage points above that implied line โ€” a historical gap, not a guarantee of value.

What is the small-market prediction for Burton vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our small-market prediction is Saves Under 6.5, which cleared its line in up to 86% of matching games. This fixture has 2 side-market trends in total (corners, cards, fouls, shots) โ€” see the table above. Historical rates only, not guarantees.

When does Burton vs AFC Wimbledon start and what competition is it?

Burton vs AFC Wimbledon is scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM in ENGLAND: League One.

Is Total Under 2.5 a safe bet for Burton vs AFC Wimbledon?

No bet is safe. These hit rates describe past results only and may not repeat, and the listed odds can move before kickoff. We assume no injuries, lineups, weather or motivation beyond the supplied data โ€” always compare the live price and bet responsibly.

Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

TOT O/U 2.5
W1/W2
BTTS YES/NO
CORN O/U9.5
GM O/U117.5
L5 MATCHES
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Burton โ€” AFC Wimbledon โ€” Predictions & Dropping Odds

ENGLAND: League One
09/02/2026, 14:45
U2.5OVER/UNDER
1.70โ†“5.6%1.80
BTS: NoBOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
1.85โ†“5.1%1.95
W1HOME/AWAY
1.95โ†“4.9%2.05
Corners Under 9.5CORNERS
1.82โ†“8.1%1.98

Burton face AFC Wimbledon in ENGLAND: League One. Our statistical model analyzed head-to-head records, recent form and key metrics.

Top Tip

Our top pick for this match is U2.5 at odds of 1.70. Additional pick: BTS: No at odds of 1.85.

Predictions use recent historical data, home and away splits and head-to-head records. See the tables above for the complete breakdown.

xG

Model Prediction

Burton1.42
xG
AFC Wimbledon0.84
Expected xG total: 2.26

Model chance of each outcome

W150%
X28%
W222%
Both teams to score: 43%Over 2.5 goals:
โ„น๏ธ 02.09.2026 14:45
๐ŸFinal4 - 1
๐ŸšฉCorners4 - 7
ENGLAND: League One
Burton logo
Burton
vs
AFC Wimbledon logo
AFC Wimbledon
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Market Assessment

๐Ÿ”’

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Guide
Market Assessment ยท Version 1.7

Streaks

Over/Under predictions(1)

Under 2.5 goals scored:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
Total goals Under (2.5)1.70
Both teams to score(1)

Both teams have scored:

  • in last 6 Burton games (ENGLAND: League One).
Both teams to score: Yes1.88
Result predictions(1)

Burton are unbeaten:

  • in last 5 Burton home games (ENGLAND: League One).
1X (Burton)

Match Trends

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Predictions are locked

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Market Assessment

๐Ÿ”’

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Guide
Market Assessment ยท Version 1.7

Streaks

Over/Under predictions(1)

Under 2.5 goals scored:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
Total goals Under (2.5)1.70
Both teams to score(1)

Both teams have scored:

  • in last 6 Burton games (ENGLAND: League One).
Both teams to score: Yes1.88
Result predictions(1)

Burton are unbeaten:

  • in last 5 Burton home games (ENGLAND: League One).
1X (Burton)

Statistics

(include only LO 5 matches of 5)

StatisticBURWIM
Goals Scored1.40.4
Goals Conceded1.41.4
xG0.550.55
xGA1.311.6
Shots68
Shots on Target1.51.75
Shots Inside Box44.5
Big Chances11

Lineup analysis

๐Ÿ”’

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xG

Model Prediction

Burton1.42
xG
AFC Wimbledon0.84
Expected xG total: 2.26

Model chance of each outcome

W150%
X28%
W222%
Both teams to score: 43%Over 2.5 goals: 41%
Model pick:โ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ข๐Ÿ”’ Free sign-up unlocks the model pick

Model: xG v3.1

Statistical model estimate for the upcoming match.

41%
Model pick:โ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ขโ€ข๐Ÿ”’ Free sign-up unlocks the model pick

Model: xG v3.1

Statistical model estimate for the upcoming match.

Statistics

(include only LO 5 matches of 5)

StatisticBURWIM
Goals Scored1.40.4
Goals Conceded1.41.4
xG0.550.55
xGA1.311.6
Shots68
Shots on Target1.51.75
Shots Inside Box44.5
Big Chances11

Match Trends

๐Ÿ”’

Predictions are locked

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โ„น๏ธ 02.09.2026 14:45
๐ŸFinal4 - 1
๐ŸšฉCorners4 - 7
ENGLAND: League One
Burton logo
Burton
vs
AFC Wimbledon logo
AFC Wimbledon
โšฝ Top Trends
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No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Learn Betting
Goal totals: Over / Under 2.5 โ€บBTTS: Yes / No โ€บ1X2 and double chance โ€บCorner totals โ€บExpected goals and pre-match xG โ€บ

Match Trends

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Top Scorers

PlayerAG
Armer J.11
Chauke K.01
Delap F.01
Dennis M.01
Hippolyte M.01

Top Scorers

PlayerAG
Armer J.11
Chauke K.01
Delap F.01
Dennis M.01
Hippolyte M.01