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Como face Venezia in ITALY: Serie A. Our statistical model analyzed head-to-head records, recent form and key metrics.
Our top pick for this match is O2.5 at odds of 1.40. Additional pick: BTS: Yes at odds of 1.67.
Predictions use recent historical data, home and away splits and head-to-head records. See the tables above for the complete breakdown.


| # | MP | W% | G | +/- | PTS | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 89% | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | 3.89 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 89% | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | 3.22 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 70% | 28:10 | +18 | 24 | 3.80 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 67% | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | 2.78 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 56% | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | 3.22 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 56% | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | 4.00 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 44% | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | 3.11 |
Prepared
The upcoming ITALY: Serie A clash between Como and Venezia brings a matchup our model has flagged on the betting market. The available recorded samples and listed odds are reviewed below. The match is scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30 AM.
Here is our breakdown and top betting picks for this matchup. Check the live odds and full match stats on the Como vs Venezia page.
| Competition | ITALY: Serie A |
|---|---|
| Match | Como vs Venezia |
| Kickoff | November 1, 2026 at 6:30 AM |
| Market | TOTAL |
| Selection | Total Over 2.5 |
| Odds | 1.4 |
In 5 recent games, Como went over 2.5 80% of the time. In 10 recent games, Como went over 2.5 70% of the time. In 15 recent games, Como went over 2.5 67% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Como project in this game's total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
In 20 recent games away, Venezia went over 2.5 60% of the time. In 15 recent games away, Venezia went over 2.5 60% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Venezia project in this game's total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 80% | 5 |
| Head-to-head matches | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 80% | 5 |
| Como | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Como | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 67% | 15 |
| Head-to-head matches | Overall | Total Over 2.5 | 67% | 9 |
| Venezia | VEN - Away | Total Over 2.5 | 60% | 20 |
| Como | COM - Home | Total Over 2.5 | 60% | 15 |
| Venezia | VEN - Away | Total Over 2.5 | 60% | 15 |
Beyond the main market, the recorded samples for Como vs Venezia also flag side-market trends — corners, cards, fouls and shots. These are historical statistical trends from past games, not guarantees.
Small-market prediction: Goal Minutes Under 164.5. Its strongest recorded sample landed in 80% of 10 games.
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | Overall | Goal Minutes Under 164.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Venezia | VEN - Away | Goal Minutes Under 164.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Venezia | Overall | Goal Minutes Under 164.5 | 73% | 15 |
| Venezia | Overall | Goal Minutes Under 164.5 | 70% | 20 |
| Como | COM - Home | Corners Under 9.5 | 79% | 14 |
| Como | COM - Home | Corners Under 9.5 | 79% | 19 |
Read together, the recent samples for Como and Venezia point in the same direction on the game total, with the strongest trend landing at 80%.
Historical rates frame the matchup but never guarantee the next result — the market line and price still decide whether a pick holds value. This preview uses only the recorded samples supplied for this fixture.
| Selection | Odds | Implied probability | Best recorded hit rate | Historical gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Over 2.5 | 1.40 | 71.4% | 80.0% | +8.6 pp |
The historical gap compares the strongest supplied sample with the probability implied by the listed odds. It is not a model probability or a guarantee of value.
Why: Each selection is built on Como and Venezia's recorded totals samples, led by a 80% hit rate. These are analytical opinions, not a promise of a result — always compare the listed odds with the current market before betting. No injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other unverified match context are assumed in this assessment.
Historical samples describe previous results and may not repeat in the next match. The listed odds can also change before kickoff. This assessment does not assume any injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other context that is not present in the supplied data.
Our data-backed selection is Total Over 2.5 at listed odds of 1.4, an implied probability of 71.4%. It is the only tracked pick we flag for Como vs Venezia.
Across 8 recorded samples, Total Over 2.5 landed in up to 80% of games at its strongest. Como's best matching split hit 80% and Venezia's reached 60%.
Total Over 2.5 is priced at 1.4 (71.4% implied). The strongest recorded sample (80%) sits +8.6 percentage points above that implied line — a historical gap, not a guarantee of value.
Our small-market prediction is Goal Minutes Under 164.5, which cleared its line in up to 80% of matching games. This fixture has 2 side-market trends in total (corners, cards, fouls, shots) — see the table above. Historical rates only, not guarantees.
Como vs Venezia is scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30 AM in ITALY: Serie A.
No bet is safe. These hit rates describe past results only and may not repeat, and the listed odds can move before kickoff. We assume no injuries, lineups, weather or motivation beyond the supplied data — always compare the live price and bet responsibly.
Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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in last 5 Venezia games.Predictions are locked
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in last 5 Venezia games.(include only SA 5 matches of 5)
| Statistic | COM | VEN |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| xG | 1.83 | 1.68 |
| xGA | 1.3 | 1.69 |
| Shots | 18.8 | 15.2 |
| Shots on Target | 6.2 | 4.6 |
| Shots Inside Box | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| Big Chances | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| # | MP | W% | G | +/- | PTS | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 89% | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | 3.89 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 89% | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | 3.22 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 70% | 28:10 | +18 | 24 | 3.80 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 67% | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | 2.78 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 56% | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | 3.22 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 56% | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | 4.00 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 44% | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | 3.11 |
Choose 2–4 players from these teams

Bench not published

Bench not published
xG + xA per appearance · last 20 actual club appearances. Goalkeepers: GP = goals prevented per appearance.
Unavailable or doubtful players and their recent performance
Confirmed, likely and doubtful changes compared to the previous match.

Status uncertain
Starting XI comparison unavailable

Status uncertain
Starting XI comparison unavailable
Recent averages per appearance
Compare recent form, attack and defence stats
Results: 10/10 · xG: 8/10Oldest → latest
Results: 10/10 · xG: 8/10Oldest → latest
Known results and paired xG only. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
Last 10 matches · Latest first · score from team’s perspective
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG (team – opp.) | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 : 0 | 1.65 : 0.24 | W | |||
| 4 : 1 | 2.04 : 1.05 | W | |||
| 0 : 0 | 1.45 : 1.10 | D | |||
| 2 : 1 | 3.24 : 1.22 | W | |||
| 4 : 1 | 2.29 : 1.42 | W |
Each metric has its own coverage. Missing data stays unknown.
Prepared
Current league first. Official matches from other competitions fill a short sample, on the same side. Friendlies excluded.
Personal performance and matches with a similar starting XI
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Matches with this lineup core12
Matches with this lineup core4
Both players’ output in their shared starts, within this sample.
| Shared starts | 9 |
|---|---|
| Player goals | 4 |
| xG | 6.41 |
| xA | 2.54 |
| Key passes | 16 |
| Big chances created | 6 |
| Player goals/xG | 0.62 |
| Shared starts | 12 |
|---|---|
| Player goals | 6 |
| xG | 6.79 |
| xA | 3.86 |
| Key passes | 37 |
| Big chances created | 7 |
| Player goals/xG | 0.88 |
Sum of individual rates per appearance · Players with data
Highlighted gaps compare these two starting XIs; short samples are marked.
| Starting XI · player statistics | ||
|---|---|---|
| Player xG/ appearance | 1.7510/10↑ Higher | 1.2510/10↓ Lower |
| Player xA/ appearance | 1.0110/10 | 0.9710/10 |
| Goals/ appearance | 1.6810/10↑ Higher | 1.1210/10↓ Lower |
| Assists/ appearance | 1.1410/10↑ Higher | 0.6310/10↓ Lower |
| Duels won, % | 52.2%10/10 | 49.4%10/10 |
| Errors leading to a goal/ appearance | 0.2310/10 | 0.2110/10 |
| Errors leading to a shot/ appearance | 0.2610/10↓ Lower | 0.3410/10↑ Higher |
| Goalkeeper · goals prevented/ appearance | -0.041/1 | 0.071/1 |
Player history describes this XI. These totals are not expected team goals or match probabilities.
| Player | xG | xA | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 0.20 | 0 | |
| 0.35 | 0.09 | 2 | |
| 0.12 | 0.02 | 2 | |
| 0.11 | 0.06 | 1 | |
| 0.16 | 0.10 | 2 | |
| 0.03 | 0.15 | 1 | |
| 0.18 | 0.15 | 1 | |
| 0.34 | 0.16 | 4 | |
| 0.04 | 0.05 | 1 | |
| 0.38 | 0.03 | 7 | |
| Goalkeeper · goals prevented -0.04 | |||
Not enough lineup evidence
| Player | xG | xA | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02 | 0.03 | 0 | |
| 0.03 | 0.02 | 0 | |
| 0.02 | 0.02 | 0 | |
| 0.14 | 0.14 | 3 | |
| 0.03 | 0.19 | 0 | |
| 0.03 | 0.07 | 0 | |
| 0.08 | 0.10 | 1 | |
| 0.14 | 0.14 | 4 | |
| 0.48 | 0.23 | 5 | |
| 0.28 | 0.03 | 3 | |
| Goalkeeper · goals prevented 0.07 | |||
Not enough lineup evidence


(include only SA 5 matches of 5)
| Statistic | COM | VEN |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| xG | 1.83 | 1.68 |
| xGA | 1.3 | 1.69 |
| Shots | 18.8 | 15.2 |
| Shots on Target | 6.2 | 4.6 |
| Shots Inside Box | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| Big Chances | 3.6 | 2.2 |
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Register free| Player | A | G |
|---|---|---|
Douvikas A. | 0 | 5 |
Paz N. | 3 | 3 |
Baturina M. | 1 | 3 |
Diao A. | 1 | 2 |
Hainaut A. | 1 | 2 |
Adams A. | 0 | 2 |
Ramon J. | 0 | 2 |
| Player | A | G |
|---|---|---|
Douvikas A. | 0 | 5 |
Paz N. | 3 | 3 |
Baturina M. | 1 | 3 |
Diao A. | 1 | 2 |
Hainaut A. | 1 | 2 |
Adams A. | 0 | 2 |
Ramon J. | 0 | 2 |