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Statistics

(include only SL 5 matches of 5)

StatisticSEPUNI
Goals Scored0.82.6
Goals Conceded20
xG1.061.98
xGA2.090.66
Shots11.818.6
Shots on Target3.67.6
Shots Inside Box6.612.8
Big Chances1.23.4
Football
ROMANIA: Superliga

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe β€” Univ. Craiova

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logoSepsi Sf. Gheorghe
10/26/2026, 14:00
-
Predictions
Univ. Craiova logoUniv. Craiova

Match Analysis

Prepared Oct 25, 2026

The upcoming ROMANIA: Superliga clash between Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe and Univ. Craiova brings a matchup our model has flagged on the betting market. The available recorded samples and listed odds are reviewed below. The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM.

Here is our breakdown and top betting picks for this matchup. Check the live odds and full match stats on the Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova page.

Match Info

CompetitionROMANIA: Superliga
MatchSepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova
KickoffOctober 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM
MarketTOTAL
SelectionTotal Under 2.5
Odds1.9

Team Analysis & Recent Form

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

In 15 recent games, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe went under 2.5 80% of the time. In 20 recent games, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe went under 2.5 75% of the time. In 10 recent games, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe went under 2.5 70% of the time.

Those numbers shape how Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe project in this game's total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.

Univ. Craiova

In 15 recent games away, Univ. Craiova went under 2.5 73% of the time. In 20 recent games away, Univ. Craiova went under 2.5 70% of the time. In 10 recent games away, Univ. Craiova went under 2.5 70% of the time.

Those numbers shape how Univ. Craiova project in this game's total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.

Recorded Trend Samples

TeamSplitSelectionHit rateGames
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheOverallTotal Under 2.580%15
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheOverallTotal Under 2.575%20
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayTotal Under 2.573%15
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheOverallTotal Under 2.570%10
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheSEP - HomeTotal Under 2.570%10
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayTotal Under 2.570%10
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayTotal Under 2.570%20

Small-Market Trends & Prediction

Beyond the main market, the recorded samples for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova also flag side-market trends β€” corners, cards, fouls and shots. These are historical statistical trends from past games, not guarantees.

Small-market prediction: Corners Under 9.5 at odds of 1.78. Its strongest recorded sample landed in 87% of 15 games.

TeamSplitSelectionHit rateGames
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayCorners Under 9.587%15
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayCorners Under 9.585%20
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayCorners Under 9.580%10
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheOverallCorners Under 9.575%20
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheSEP - HomeCorners Under 9.571%14
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheSEP - HomeCorners Under 9.571%17
Univ. CraiovaOverallCorners Under 9.570%10
Univ. CraiovaOverallCorners Under 9.570%20
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheOverallCorners Under 9.570%10
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheSEP - HomeCorners Under 9.570%10
Sepsi Sf. GheorgheOverallGoal Minutes Under 126.571%14
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayGoal Minutes Under 126.571%14
Univ. CraiovaUNI - AwayGoal Minutes Under 126.570%10

The Goal Threat

Read together, the recent samples for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe and Univ. Craiova point in the same direction on the game total, with the strongest trend landing at 80%.

Historical rates frame the matchup but never guarantee the next result β€” the market line and price still decide whether a pick holds value. This preview uses only the recorded samples supplied for this fixture.

Odds and Historical Rate Comparison

SelectionOddsImplied probabilityBest recorded hit rateHistorical gap
Total Under 2.51.9052.6%80.0%+27.4 pp

The historical gap compares the strongest supplied sample with the probability implied by the listed odds. It is not a model probability or a guarantee of value.

Best Football Betting Picks & Prediction

  • Pick: Total Under 2.5 β€” odds 1.9

Why: Each selection is built on Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe and Univ. Craiova's recorded totals samples, led by a 80% hit rate. These are analytical opinions, not a promise of a result β€” always compare the listed odds with the current market before betting. No injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other unverified match context are assumed in this assessment.

Risk Assessment

Historical samples describe previous results and may not repeat in the next match. The listed odds can also change before kickoff. This assessment does not assume any injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other context that is not present in the supplied data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova?

Our data-backed selection is Total Under 2.5 at listed odds of 1.9, an implied probability of 52.6%. It is the only tracked pick we flag for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova.

How strong is the Total Under 2.5 trend for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova?

Across 7 recorded samples, Total Under 2.5 landed in up to 80% of games at its strongest. Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe's best matching split hit 80% and Univ. Craiova's reached 73%.

What are the odds for Total Under 2.5 in Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova?

Total Under 2.5 is priced at 1.9 (52.6% implied). The strongest recorded sample (80%) sits +27.4 percentage points above that implied line β€” a historical gap, not a guarantee of value.

What is the small-market prediction for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova?

Our small-market prediction is Corners Under 9.5 at odds of 1.78, which cleared its line in up to 87% of matching games. This fixture has 2 side-market trends in total (corners, cards, fouls, shots) β€” see the table above. Historical rates only, not guarantees.

When does Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova start and what competition is it?

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova is scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM in ROMANIA: Superliga.

Is Total Under 2.5 a safe bet for Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe vs Univ. Craiova?

No bet is safe. These hit rates describe past results only and may not repeat, and the listed odds can move before kickoff. We assume no injuries, lineups, weather or motivation beyond the supplied data β€” always compare the live price and bet responsibly.

Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

TOT O/U 2.5
W1/W2
H1(+1.5) / H2(-1.5)
BTTS YES/NO
CORN O/U9.5
GM O/U126.5
L5 MATCHES
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Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe β€” Univ. Craiova β€” Predictions & Dropping Odds

ROMANIA: Superliga
10/26/2026, 14:00
O2.5OVER/UNDER
1.75↓4.4%1.83
BTS: NoBOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
1.78↓8.7%1.95
W2HOME/AWAY
1.46↓18.0%1.78
Corners Under 9.5CORNERS
1.78
Corners Over 9.5CORNERS
1.93↓5.6%2.04

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe face Univ. Craiova in ROMANIA: Superliga. Our statistical model analyzed head-to-head records, recent form and key metrics.

Top Tip

Our top pick for this match is O2.5 at odds of 1.75. Additional pick: BTS: No at odds of 1.78.

Predictions use recent historical data, home and away splits and head-to-head records. See the tables above for the complete breakdown.

xG

xG Model 3.3

26 Oct 2026 Β· 18:00 UTC
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1.13
xG
Univ. Craiova1.75
Expected xG total:2.88
Model PickNo Model Pick for this match: the required team xG history is missing.
Prediction saved β“˜
Prediction saved: 2026-10-26 04:28 UTC
Best recorded odds 26.10.2026 05:16 UTC

1X2

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
24.2%
Draw
24.5%
Univ. Craiova
51.3%

Goal line 2.5

Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%

Both teams score

Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%

Likeliest scores

  • 11.6%
  • 9.7%
  • 9.4%
Pre-match prediction
ℹ️ 26.10.2026 14:00
ROMANIA: Superliga
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
vs
Univ. Craiova logo
Univ. Craiova

Pre-match 1X2

15.25
X4.00
21.48
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Standings

#MPW%G+/-PTSAVG
1Dinamo Bucuresti1369%29:9+20302.92
2FC Rapid Bucuresti1362%21:13+8272.62
3Univ. Craiova1267%27:9+18263.00
4Petrolul1354%18:17+1232.69
5U. Cluj1354%25:20+5223.46
6FCSB1346%20:19+1213.00
7Farul Constanta1338%21:20+1203.15

Top Scorers

PlayerAG
Elisor S.07
Al Hamlawi A.04
Nsimba S.04
Baiaram S.32
Etim M.22
Andrei D.12
Cicaldau A.12

Pre-match 1X2

Market Assessment

Bookmaker comparison
πŸ”’

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Guide
Market Assessment Β· 2.0

Streaks

Over/Under predictions(1)

Over 2.5 goals scored:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
Total goals Over (2.5)1.75
Both teams to score(1)

Both teams have scored:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
Both teams to score: Yes1.95
Result predictions(2)

Univ. Craiova are unbeaten:

  • in last 9 Univ. Craiova games.
  • in last 5 Univ. Craiova away games.
X2 (Univ. Craiova)1.14

Univ. Craiova have beaten Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
W2 (Univ. Craiova)1.46
Stats predictions(2)

Over 126.5 total goal minutes:

  • in last 5 head-to-head games.
Total goal minutes Over (126.5)1.85

Under 9.5 corners:

  • in last 5 Univ. Craiova games.
Corners Under (9.5)1.78

Match Trends

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Predictions are locked

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Market Assessment

Bookmaker comparison
πŸ”’

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Guide
Market Assessment Β· 2.0

Streaks

Over/Under predictions(1)

Over 2.5 goals scored:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
Total goals Over (2.5)1.75
Both teams to score(1)

Both teams have scored:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
Both teams to score: Yes1.95
Result predictions(2)

Univ. Craiova are unbeaten:

  • in last 9 Univ. Craiova games.
  • in last 5 Univ. Craiova away games.
X2 (Univ. Craiova)1.14

Univ. Craiova have beaten Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe:

  • in last 6 head-to-head games.
W2 (Univ. Craiova)1.46
Stats predictions(2)

Over 126.5 total goal minutes:

  • in last 5 head-to-head games.
Total goal minutes Over (126.5)1.85

Under 9.5 corners:

  • in last 5 Univ. Craiova games.
Corners Under (9.5)1.78

Statistics

(include only SL 5 matches of 5)

StatisticSEPUNI
Goals Scored0.82.6
Goals Conceded20
xG1.061.98
xGA2.090.66
Shots11.818.6
Shots on Target3.67.6
Shots Inside Box6.612.8
Big Chances1.23.4

Lineup analysis

Last updated: Oct 26, 01:14 AM ET
Last matches
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

Avg. rating6.7
4 Β· 3 Β· 3Predicted XI

Substitutes

Bench not published

Univ. Craiova logo

Univ. Craiova

Avg. rating7.2
3 Β· 4 Β· 3Predicted XI

Substitutes

Bench not published

xG + xA per appearance Β· last 20 actual club appearances. Goalkeepers: GP = goals prevented per appearance.

Injuries & Suspensions

Unavailable or doubtful players and their recent performance

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

3 affected players
Out2 players
Doubtful1 player
Univ. Craiova logo

Univ. Craiova

3 affected players
Out3 players

Starting Lineup Changes

Confirmed, likely and doubtful changes compared to the previous match.

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

Avg. rating6.7
Total changes8
In

Expected to start

4
Out

Not expected to start

4
Doubtful

Status uncertain

1

Doubtful players are not included in the total.

Univ. Craiova logo

Univ. Craiova

Avg. rating7.2
Total changes2
In

Expected to start

1
Out

Not expected to start

1

Recent averages per appearance

Team Context

Compare recent form, attack and defence stats

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

Home
MP
5
W
2
D
2
L
1
Points / match
1.60
WDDWL

Results: 5/10 Β· xG: 5/10Oldest β†’ latest

Univ. Craiova logo

Univ. Craiova

Away
MP
10
W
4
D
4
L
2
Points / match
1.60
WLDDWW

Results: 10/10 Β· xG: 10/10Oldest β†’ latest

Attack

1.00+0.30
Goals scored / match?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
0.70
1.32+0.11
Expected goals (xG) / match?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
1.21
60%
Scored in?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
70%+10 pp

Defence

0.80-0.30
Goals conceded / match?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
1.10
1.36
Expected conceded (xGA) / match?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
1.16-0.20
40%
Clean sheets?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
60%+20 pp

Chance balance

-0.05
xG difference / match?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
+0.05+0.10
80%+20 pp
Higher xG than opponent?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
60%

Goal patterns

40%
Both teams scored?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Frequency only; neither side is better.
30%
20%
Over 2.5 goals?Recorded matches: Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 5, Univ. Craiova 10. Frequency only; neither side is better.
20%

Known results and paired xG only. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.

Recent matches

Last 10 matches Β· Latest first Β· score from team’s perspective

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
Last 10 Β· Home
DateCompetitionOpponentScorexG (team – opp.)Results
Oct 9SLRO flagDinamo Bucuresti logoDinamo Bucuresti0 : 20.80 : 2.52L
Sep 12SLRO flagCFR Cluj logoCFR Cluj3 : 12.15 : 1.49W
Aug 23SLRO flagFarul Constanta logoFarul Constanta1 : 11.09 : 0.88D
Aug 10SLRO flagFCSB logoFCSB0 : 01.14 : 0.97D
Jul 26SLRO flagU. Cluj logoU. Cluj1 : 01.40 : 0.95W
Univ. Craiova logo
Univ. Craiova
Last 10 Β· Away
DateCompetitionOpponentScorexG (team – opp.)Results
Oct 11SLRO flagCsikszereda M. Ciuc logoCsikszereda M. Ciuc1 : 02.38 : 0.42W
Sep 13SLRO flagCorvinul logoCorvinul1 : 01.21 : 0.70W
Aug 31SLRO flagFC Rapid Bucuresti logoFC Rapid Bucuresti1 : 11.88 : 1.84D
Aug 16SLRO flagOtelul logoOtelul1 : 10.87 : 0.81D
Jul 25SLRO flagDinamo Bucuresti logoDinamo Bucuresti1 : 50.88 : 3.41L

Match Markets

Key betting markets and team-specific insights

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

Home form
2/540%
Univ. Craiova logo

Univ. Craiova

Away form
2/1020%

Recent frequency in each team’s separate home/away league history. These percentages are not probabilities or picks for this match.

Supports the hosts

0 factors

No strong supporting signal in the saved sample.

A concern for the hosts

2 factors
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe at home: 2/5
40%

Home win occurred in 2 of 5 recorded at home league matches (40%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

WDDWL
Univ. Craiova away: 2/10
20%

Home win occurred in 2 of 10 recorded away league matches (20%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

WLWDDLDDWW

Worth checking

14 items
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: predicted XI
Not confirmed

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: 3 reported absences

Bamgboye F., Matei C., Gustavo Cascardo. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Univ. Craiova: predicted XI
Not confirmed

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Univ. Craiova: 3 reported absences

Etim M., Isenko P., Rus A.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Venue xG context

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe at home: -0.05 xG difference per match (5 records); Univ. Craiova away: 0.05 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: starting XI attacking output

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Heras N.: 0.48 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 550 minutes); scored in 1/9 appearances with recorded goals; Otelita B.: 0.40 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 309 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Davordzie C.: 0.31 xG+xA/90 (7 appearances, 273 minutes); scored in 0/7 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: defensive observations

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Otelita B.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 309 minutes); Rose L.: 0.11 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 832 minutes); Karamoko S.: 0.20 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes); Vianna F.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 838 minutes). Otelita B.: 17/26 duels won (9 appearances); Rose L.: 28/50 duels won (10 appearances); Karamoko S.: 36/58 duels won (10 appearances); Vianna F.: 33/62 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: goalkeeper history

Lazar D.: 0.29 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: bench and absences

Bench unpublished. Bamgboye F.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.18 xG+xA/90 from 721 minutes. Matei C.: missing (Doping); historical 0.45 xG+xA/90 from 233 minutes. Gustavo Cascardo: doubtful (Injury); historical 0.09 xG+xA/90 from 758 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Univ. Craiova: starting XI attacking output

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Al Hamlawi A.: 0.75 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 519 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Matei D.: 0.45 xG+xA/90 (8 appearances, 488 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Baiaram S.: 0.42 xG+xA/90 (8 appearances, 457 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

Univ. Craiova: defensive observations

5/5 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Romanchuk O.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 876 minutes); Stevanovic N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 791 minutes); Screciu V.: 0.11 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 801 minutes); Mora C.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 744 minutes); Bancu N.: 0.11 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 810 minutes). Romanchuk O.: 26/46 duels won (10 appearances); Stevanovic N.: 41/57 duels won (9 appearances); Screciu V.: 45/65 duels won (10 appearances); Mora C.: 51/89 duels won (9 appearances); Bancu N.: 35/77 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Univ. Craiova: goalkeeper history

Popescu L.: 0.38 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).

Univ. Craiova: bench and absences

Bench unpublished. Etim M.: missing (Inactive); historical 0.80 xG+xA/90 from 399 minutes. Isenko P.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.00 xG+xA/90 from 669 minutes. Rus A.: missing (Injury); historical 0.20 xG+xA/90 from 228 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Starting XI attacking profiles

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: 1.93 summed individual xG+xA/90; Univ. Craiova: 2.93. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.

Each metric has its own coverage. Missing data stays unknown.

xG

xG Model 3.3

26 Oct 2026 Β· 18:00 UTC
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1.13
xG
Univ. Craiova1.75
Expected xG total:2.88
Model PickNo Model Pick for this match: the required team xG history is missing.
Prediction saved β“˜
Prediction saved: 2026-10-26 04:28 UTC
Best recorded odds 26.10.2026 05:16 UTC

1X2

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
24.2%
Draw
24.5%
Univ. Craiova
51.3%

Goal line 2.5

Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%

Both teams score

Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%

Likeliest scores

  • 11.6%
  • 9.7%
  • 9.4%
Pre-match prediction

Statistics

(include only SL 5 matches of 5)

StatisticSEPUNI
Goals Scored0.82.6
Goals Conceded20
xG1.061.98
xGA2.090.66
Shots11.818.6
Shots on Target3.67.6
Shots Inside Box6.612.8
Big Chances1.23.4

Match Trends

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Predictions are locked

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ℹ️ 26.10.2026 14:00
ROMANIA: Superliga
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe logo
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
vs
Univ. Craiova logo
Univ. Craiova
⚽ Top Trends
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Learn Betting
Goal totals: Over / Under 2.5 β€ΊBTTS: Yes / No β€Ί1X2 and double chance β€ΊCorner totals β€ΊExpected goals and pre-match xG β€Ί

Match Trends

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Match Trends

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Standings

#MPW%G+/-PTSAVG
1Dinamo Bucuresti1369%29:9+20302.92
2FC Rapid Bucuresti1362%21:13+8272.62
3Univ. Craiova1267%27:9+18263.00
4Petrolul1354%18:17+1232.69
5U. Cluj1354%25:20+5223.46
6FCSB1346%20:19+1213.00
7Farul Constanta1338%21:20+1203.15

Top Scorers

PlayerAG
Elisor S.07
Al Hamlawi A.04
Nsimba S.04
Baiaram S.32
Etim M.22
Andrei D.12
Cicaldau A.12